A rule of thumb I was told early on is that when it comes to strobes being effective as warning equipment, they have a 5-year half life. In other words, after five years, the tubes are half as bright as new, and five years later, half of that half. I don't know the methodology used to come to this "rule" or if it is even accurate. I would recommend that tubes be replaced at 5-6 years to maximize effectiveness and keep the power supply from overworking. There is no doubt that strobe systems lose effectiveness over time. This is why I will not reuse hide-a-way bulbs. If you are looking for cost effectiveness over life-cycle, I feel it would be safe to estimate re-lensing or at least a complete re-surfacing of the lenses at 3 years, replacement of bulbs at 6 years, and replacement of at least one power supply at nine years. I used those estimates when arguing against reusing 8 year-old VISTA strobe bars on new cruisers. Add in estimates on fuel savings from reduced drag, lowered power consumption and decreased stress on vehicle electrical system (we were killing alternators at a steady pace with halogen & strobe set-ups...now with 85% LED bars we are going through about 1/4 of the alternators we used to go through), and the obvious increase in effectiveness of LED bars. Other considerations include LED takedowns being superior for in-car video systems due to reduced glare, the fact that LED lightbars do not blind helicopter pilots when they are using NVGs to land at an evac, truer color output, and overall increased lifecycle of all components in lightbar due to reduced weight, heat, and current draw.